[Update: While the bit at the end wasn't more than fun on one of my friends' expense, I've been asked to at least try and pretend to do it right. Overall I think it allows me to make even more fun on the friend's expense, so why not?]
If being rude, pushy and uncivil is the norm, does being civil constitute a social offense? Does the civil person really act wrongly by deviating from accepted behaviour?
I was driving along a highway, on my way to work this morning, when a large bus on the nearby slower lane signaled (well, the driver of the bus signaled, not the bus.) that it wanted to switch into my lane. Probably it wanted to overtake a slower car driving before it.
Since I was faster, I could have sped up, pass the lot of them, and let the bus do whatever it wanted once I was long gone. I could have also kept going at my current speed, since this was my lane, forcing the bus to wait at its lane until I’m done.
Instead I did the polite thing and hit the breaks (well, gently started to press the break pedal and slowly increased the pressure on it. Hit the breaks sounds more fun, though). Just enough to match speeds with the bus while staying behind it.
What the bus should have done at this point it switch lanes, and speed up. Instead it waited, and waited, and waited. All the time keeping the blinking signal lights on. This took long enough for the car that was far behind me to come closer and start flashing its headlights at me, urging me to move on.
Only then did the bus switch lanes.
Why did it take it so long? It wasn’t because it didn’t intend to switch originally and started signaling by mistake. It was because it expected me to ignore the fact it was signaling, and keep driving on at the same pace. It didn’t signal in order to signal, but because there’s a law someplace claiming you must.
See, the common driver here would have indeed ignored the signals. So the bus wants to switch lanes? So What? It can wait. And so, while it did signal, the driver waited until I passed it. And initially didn’t understand what’s taking me so long. It only switched lanes once the incredulous shock (I might be exaggerating here a bit, but maybe I’m not) wore out.
Result of me being civil, and respecting the signals of the bus: The bus was delayed, I was delayed and the car behind me was delayed.
Had I just kept driving on, which was rude but expected, only the bus would have been delayed. And probably by less than it eventually did.
What would have happened if everyone was polite?
Me being civil: Only I would have been delayed, and less than I actually was. The bus would have switched over instantly, since it knew once it signaled I would slow. And I could have gone forward immediately once it did.
Me being uncivil and driving on: Car crash between me and the bus. I’d drive on, and it would swerve into me. Likely it would have greatly delayed me, the bus, the car behind me, and lots of other cars. On the bright side it would have brought some economic benefits to our garages.
The best thing for me to do then is to drive as rudely as the rest of them. Would help me and not hurt anyone else.
Good to know.
Anyway, here would be a good place to stop reading this post.
OK, I’ve warned you.
Just for kicks, let’s model it using basic game theory.
Payoffs are 200 for no delays, 100 for small delays, 0 for large delays, -1000 for losing the car. The numbers are of course meaningless, only the relations matter.
Payoff pairs are (me, bus). The bus strategy is based on whether the society of driving is civil or not, since that determines the expectations of the bus driver regarding my behaviour when he signals. This in effect means that what’s modeled here is a game between a single driver (represented by yours truly) and a generic driver in the local culture (represented by our hapless bus driver).
Payoff Matrix
| |
society is civil |
society is uncivil |
| I’m civil |
(100,200) |
(0,0) |
| I’m uncivil |
(-1000,-1000) |
(200,100) |
From my side:
- If the society is civil, it’s better for me to be civil. I’m slowed down a bit, but retain a working car.
- If the society is uncivil, it’s better for me to be uncivil. Otherwise (as actually happened) I suffer a delay.
From the bus driver’s side:
- If I’m civil, it’s better for the bus to be in a civil society. Otherwise (as happened) he suffers a long delay.
- If I’m uncivil, it’s better for the bus to be in an uncivil society. Otherwise the culture-shock (sorry, couldn’t help it) would have wrecked it.
A nice coordination game. Two Nash equilibria where me and the society act in tandem.
The fun begins when you consider that:
- Society is in fact composed of various individuals like me, so likely the society strategy will evolve due to the strategies that individual chooses.
- When society does already have strong preferences, it’s better to stick
with them. So I must sadly assume drivers will not try to be civil in
the forseeable future.
- Worst case scenario for me as an individual is when I’m uncivil. Worse case scenario for a general society member is when society is civil (I always knew I don’t represent the society here in general, but it’s nice to have a mathematical confirmation). This means that on a generally undecided society (where culture has not already developed strong preferences, and so everyone plays mixed strategies based on probabilities) repeated games, and sticking in some evolutionary model, will not converge into a single strategy. So people will crash into each other all over the place.
Of course, this is all so much hogwash, since drivers here are rude, pushy and uncivil for reasons which have nothing to do with their chances of getting into a car accident. It’s just a wonderful country in a wonderful world. Fresh smog and all that.
I did warn you to stop reading earlier. You can’t complain.